다중회귀분석법을 이용한 전력량 예측알고리즘

Electrical Energy Consumption Forecasting Algorithm Using Multiple Regression Method

초록

This paper proposes a electrical energy consumption forecasting algorithm using multiple regression analysis method that takes into GDP, population and monthly converted weekdays. In order to consider the uncertainty of the future temperature, forecasting monthly electrical energy consumption is applied the temperature sensitivity of the energy on the average temperature of the past 30 years based on multiple regression analysis algorithm. The proposed prediction model is generated based on the past five years’ load data. Test results show that the accuracy of the proposed algorithm is 97.64% and the maximum error is 4.25% through 2010 to 2014.

키워드

Electrical Energy Forecasting Algorithm; Multiple Regression Model; Power System
제목
다중회귀분석법을 이용한 전력량 예측알고리즘
제목 (타언어)
Electrical Energy Consumption Forecasting Algorithm Using Multiple Regression Method
저자
송경빈; 박래준; 김경환; 원종률
발행일
2017-11
저널명
조명.전기설비학회논문지
권
31
호
11
페이지
69 ~ 74